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blaster
thecouch -at- overpressure.com
yes, an homage to jonah
pittspilot
pittspilot -at- overpressure.com
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You heard it here first
Results of the Iraqi election are out. No party has a majority, but it seems rather unlikely that Allawi - whose party got a small portion of the vote - will be the new Prime Minister. And, as predicted, this is being called a failure for the United States. But I am surprised at who the first winner of this prize is - Michael Ledeen:
The Allawi list was outvoted five to one by its major opponents, even though Allawi commanded a treasure chest vastly greater than that of the others. Ambassador Negroponte, Secretary of State Rice, and DCI Goss should tell their "experts" to admit error, and cease their efforts to install a president and prime minister who reflect the consensus of Foggy Bottom rather than the will of the Iraqi people. If they persist in attempting to dictate the makeup of the new Iraqi government, and continue to meddle in the drafting of the new Iraqi constitution, they will turn the majority of Iraqis against us. Despite countless errors of judgment and commission, we have, for the moment at least, won a glorious victory. We should be smart enough, and modest enough, to accept it.
I think that this is wrong for the same reason that the MSM will get it wrong when the leadership is announced - I think that this has always been the expected outcome. Just looking at demographics, it is the most likely outcome, so I am not sure why we would be expecting anything differently. Maybe the folks at State who want "stability" and the CIA that is obviously not all that good at gathering and analyzing intelligence expected something different, but they were not driving the train in Iraq. The President was. And as in the "Palestinian situation," the President seems to have "gotten it" in ways that plenty of wise people on the topic haven't.
The rest of this Ledeen piece is pretty good, though for those who are convinced of neocon evil, this will be considered a climbdown: "The instrument of their destruction is democratic revolution, not war, and the first salvo in the political battle of Iran is national referendum." But this has always been Ledeen's position. And I think that it is also the President's position. I think the current attention on Iran is a sideshow designed to distract from Syria - and the Iranians are behind that design.
posted by blaster at 11:13 AM | Comments (0)
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